The sorting of votes in the European and Local Elections will get underway at 9am this morning.

The European election counts for Ireland’s three constituencies will not start until tomorrow morning.

A Europe-wide embargo means results cannot be declared until 10pm tomorrow night.

Counting in the mayoral plebiscites is set to get underway on Monday in the three affected cities – Waterford, Cork and Limerick.

There has been a huge surge in support for the Green Party according to the exit poll for the local and European elections.

It is on course to see a candidate elected in all three European constituencies.

Ciarán Cuffe looks likely to top the poll with 23% of the vote in Dublin.

While Saoirse McHugh in Midlands North West and Grace O’Sullivan in Ireland South well placed to become MEPs.

The Green Party also pulled in 9% of the vote in the local elections according to the exit poll.

There is mixed news for Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil.

Fine Gael is well placed to pick up two potential seats in Midlands North West, but may lose one in Ireland South.

Fianna Fáil’s 10-year MEP drought in Dublin looks set to be over with Barry Andrews on course for a seat but they could miss out once again in Midlands North West.

It also looks mixed for Sinn Féin.

Likely to retain all three MEP seats with a lower vote than last time, but polling just 12% in the locals.

All the MEP polling must be taken with a pinch of salt though.

There is little between many candidates and a large 4% margin of error on the exit poll.

The official RTE-TG4-Red C exit poll of more than 3,000 people nationwide.

The poll was split into three separate constituencies – Ireland South, Midlands North West and Dublin – in order to capture the likely results to be confirmed over the weekend.

The poll states:

  • The Greens are likely to top the first preference poll in Dublin with Ciaran Cuffe on 23%; be fourth of five seats on first preferences in Ireland South with Grace O’Sullivan on 12%; and be placed third of four seats in Midlands North West with Saoirse McHugh on 12%
  • In Ireland South, Fine Gael’s Sean Kelly is expected to top the poll on 16% followed by Sinn Féin’s Liadh Ni Riada and Fianna Fáil’s Billy Kelleher on 13% each, Ms O’Sullivan on 12%
  • In Ireland South, Fine Gael’s other sitting constituency MEP Deirdre Clune is at risk of losing her seat, with her 9% of exit poll first preferences putting her in a battle for the final seat with Independents4Change Mick Wallace (10%) and Fianna Fáil’s Malcolm Byrne (9%)
  • In Midlands North West, Fine Gael’s Mairead McGuinness is likely to storm home on 23%, followed by Sinn Féin’s Matt Carthy on 15%, with Ms McHugh (12%), Independent Luke Ming Flanagan (10%), Fine Gael’s Maria Walsh (10%), Independent Peter Casey (7%) and Fianna Fáil’s Brendan Smith (6%) fighting for the fourth and final seat
  • and in Dublin, the Greens Ciaran Cuffe is expected to be the shock first preference poll topper on 23%, followed by Fine Gael’s Frances Fitzgerald (14%), with Fianna Fáil’s Barry Andrews (12%), Independents4Change Clare Daly (12%), Sinn Féin’s Lynn Boylan (10%) and potentially the Social Democrats Gary Gannon (6%) all in contention for the third and fourth seats

The local election projections:

  • Fine Gael 23%
  • Fianna Fáil 23%
  • Other Independents 15%
  • Sinn Féin 12%
  • Greens 9%
  • Labour 6%
  • Social Democrats 3%
  • Solidarity-People Before Profit 2%
  • Independent Alliance 2%
  • Independents4Change 2%
  • Renua 0%
  • Aontú 1%
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